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economic outlook

cme-futures-and-polymarket-predict-jumbo-50bps-rate-cut-–-will-the-fed-deliver?

CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver?

As the U.S. central bank members prepare for their meeting on Wednesday, just a day ago, the likelihood of a 25-basis point (bps) rate cut versus a 50bps cut was evenly split at 50-50. Fast forward to today, and the odds are now tipping in favor of a larger 50bps reduction. Predictions from betting market […]

CME Futures and Polymarket Predict Jumbo 50bps Rate Cut – Will the Fed Deliver? Read More »

fed-rate-decision-looms-as-market-predicts-25bps-cut-with-87%-probability

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability

With just six days to go before the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the likelihood of a 25 basis points (bps) rate cut is growing stronger by the day. The possibility of a 50bps cut remains slim, though it still holds a 13% chance, as reported by CME’s Fedwatch tool. Market

Fed Rate Decision Looms as Market Predicts 25bps Cut With 87% Probability Read More »

fed-chair-powell-signals-confidence-in-inflation-control,-hints-at-rate-cuts

Fed Chair Powell Signals Confidence in Inflation Control, Hints at Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed confidence in the central bank’s progress in reducing inflation, suggesting that rate cuts may be on the horizon. Speaking at the Jackson Hole economic symposium, Powell emphasized the Fed’s commitment to achieving its 2% inflation target while maintaining a strong labor market. Rate Cuts Possible as Powell Expresses Confidence

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federal-reserve-hikes-rate-by-25bps-to-keep-inflation-at-bay,-aims-for-2%-inflation-rate-by-2025

Federal Reserve Hikes Rate by 25bps to Keep Inflation at Bay, Aims for 2% Inflation Rate by 2025

Following the fallout over the past two weeks in the U.S. banking industry, the Federal Reserve raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis points (bps) on Wednesday, citing the need for the inflation rate to return to 2% over the long run. Fed Raises Rate Despite Calamity in the U.S. Banking Sector It’s been

Federal Reserve Hikes Rate by 25bps to Keep Inflation at Bay, Aims for 2% Inflation Rate by 2025 Read More »

market-strategist-michael-wilkerson-believes-us-inflation-could-rise-to-12%-by-year-end-despite-predictions-of-decrease

Market Strategist Michael Wilkerson Believes US Inflation Could Rise to 12% by Year-End Despite Predictions of Decrease

While several market strategists and analysts expect U.S. inflation to drop considerably in 2023 compared with last year, Michael Wilkerson, founder of Stormwall Advisors, thinks the inflation rate could climb as high as 12% by the end of this year. The country’s inflation rate has cooled down over the past seven months, but Wilkerson insists

Market Strategist Michael Wilkerson Believes US Inflation Could Rise to 12% by Year-End Despite Predictions of Decrease Read More »