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Prediction markets

cme-fedwatch-favors-half-point-cut-ahead-of-fomc-meeting

CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting

In just 40 days, the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will gather to decide whether the central bank will lower the benchmark interest rate. This pivotal moment occurs two days after the 2024 U.S. Election Day. As it stands, CME futures data suggests that a half-point reduction is currently viewed as more probable than […]

CME Fedwatch Favors Half-Point Cut Ahead of FOMC Meeting Read More »

betting-markets-and-polls-show-harris-ahead-of-trump-as-election-nears

Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears

With only 44 days remaining until the U.S. election, the blockchain-powered predictions market Polymarket shows Vice President Kamala Harris slightly ahead in a wager against former President Donald Trump. As of Sunday, Sept. 22, Harris holds 52%, with Trump close on her heels at 47%. Harris Tops Trump in Polls and Prediction Markets as Countdown

Betting Markets and Polls Show Harris Ahead of Trump as Election Nears Read More »

cftc-loses-round-one:-kalshi-cleared-to-offer-us-election-bets

CFTC Loses Round One: Kalshi Cleared to Offer US Election Bets

A federal judge this week sided with the prediction market Kalshi’s motion for summary judgment in its legal battle with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This decision opens the door for U.S. citizens to place bets on the upcoming November election. However, the ruling isn’t the final word just yet, as the CFTC

CFTC Loses Round One: Kalshi Cleared to Offer US Election Bets Read More »

trump-maintains-slight-advantage-in-election-odds-on-polymarket-after-harris-interview 

Trump Maintains Slight Advantage in Election Odds on Polymarket After Harris Interview 

After a 40-day interview hiatus, Vice President Kamala Harris has finally given her first Q&A session since President Joe Biden announced he won’t seek re-election in 2024. According to Polymarket’s election betting odds, former President Donald Trump is currently edging ahead, leading by a modest 1 percentage point. At the moment, Trump holds a 50%

Trump Maintains Slight Advantage in Election Odds on Polymarket After Harris Interview  Read More »

polymarket-wager-shows-trump-taking-the-lead-in-nail-biting-2024-election-bet 

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet 

On Aug. 22, 2024, Polymarket odds showed former President Donald Trump leading in the prediction market that pits him against Kamala Harris for the 2024 presidential election. As of 8:19 a.m. EDT on Thursday, Trump held a 53% chance of victory, edging out Harris, who currently sits at 46%. Polymarket and Several Other Betting Platforms

Polymarket Wager Shows Trump Taking the Lead in Nail-Biting 2024 Election Bet  Read More »

pandemic-fears-ignite-as-mpox-outbreak-leads-to-high-stakes-betting-on-polymarket

Pandemic Fears Ignite as Mpox Outbreak Leads to High-Stakes Betting on Polymarket

Recently, Dr. Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus, the Director-General of the World Health Organization (WHO), officially declared that the Mpox outbreak, commonly known as monkeypox, is now a public health emergency of international concern. Following this announcement, Polymarket users have started placing bets on whether Mpox will be categorized as a pandemic in 2024. Polymarket Bettors Give

Pandemic Fears Ignite as Mpox Outbreak Leads to High-Stakes Betting on Polymarket Read More »

several-ai-chatbots-predict-trump-victory-in-2024-election,-two-decline-to-answer

Several AI Chatbots Predict Trump Victory in 2024 Election, Two Decline to Answer

Over recent weeks, Bitcoin.com News has been covering prediction markets linked to the U.S. election. Our newsdesk also tested various artificial intelligence (AI) chatbots to forecast the prices of bitcoin, gold, and ethereum by the end of 2024. In this particular experiment, we consulted nine different AI chatbots to predict the U.S. election outcome between

Several AI Chatbots Predict Trump Victory in 2024 Election, Two Decline to Answer Read More »

39%-chance-of-dropping-out-—-joe-biden’s-debate-stumbles-fuel-prediction-market-betting

39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting

Following the initial 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate, prediction market wagers on whether incumbent Joe Biden will withdraw have seen a significant increase in activity. The likelihood of Biden stepping down and being substituted has risen notably. Betting Markets React to Joe Biden’s Unintelligible Statements and Performance On Thursday, CNN broadcasted the 2024 U.S. Presidential Debate

39% Chance of Dropping Out — Joe Biden’s Debate Stumbles Fuel Prediction Market Betting Read More »

reverse-engineering-the-future:-bitcoin.com-team-members-weigh-in-on-ethglobal-tokyo-hackathon

Reverse Engineering the Future: Bitcoin.com Team Members Weigh In on ETHGlobal Tokyo Hackathon

The ETHGlobal Tokyo hackathon drew to a close on Sunday, as builders from around the world competed for $375,000 in prizes. The event was kicked off with the first-ever ETHGlobal “Pragma” summit, sponsored by Verse, among others. Engineers and representatives from Bitcoin.com also took part in the summit and hackathon, and shared their thoughts on

Reverse Engineering the Future: Bitcoin.com Team Members Weigh In on ETHGlobal Tokyo Hackathon Read More »